Can we grow our economies without warming the planet? This research explores the long-term relationship between GDP and carbon emissions across the European Union.
Using advanced statistical modeling, the authors reveal that while the EU is making progress, every 1% of economic growth still carries a small but significant carbon “price tag.”
The core message for policymakers is clear: economic prosperity does not act as a shield against climate change by default. In fact, growth can increase vulnerability if it isn’t decoupled from fossil fuels.
The study argues that for the EU to reach its climate goals, growth must be intentional—guided by risk management tools and energy-efficient policies—rather than just chasing higher GDP numbers. Prosperity, the authors conclude, must be redefined not just by the wealth we create, but by the emissions we prevent.
Learn more about this study here: https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/environmental-science/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.934885/full
Reference
Onofrei, M., Vatamanu, A. F., & Cigu, E. (2022). The Relationship Between Economic Growth and CO2 Emissions in EU Countries: A Cointegration Analysis. Frontiers in Environmental Science, Volume 10-2022

